Comments on: New Report on Peak Oil Argues That We Have Already Peaked…

By: Robert Bystrom

Robert Bystrom — Sun, 07 Sep 2008 00:57:58 +0000

Tough site to navigate. In preparation for a trip to GB, I'm looking for a list of transitions towns (I understand there to be about 30 of them) and can find them nowhere, either in your new book or on the site. I clicked on "Transition Towns" and was taken to a blog. Not what I wanted. Can you give me some help here?

Please put me on your mailing list. We are active with a new initiative out here in Bellingham, Washington.

Thanks, Robert

By: Mark Forskitt

Mark Forskitt — Wed, 23 Jan 2008 08:20:58 +0000

Peak Coal?? from the New Scientist
Coal: Bleak outlook for the black stuff
19 January 2008
David Strahan
Magazine issue 2639
“THERE used to be a saying about taking coal to Newcastle, but these days the issue is getting the stuff out. Newcastle in New South Wales, Australia, may be the biggest coal export terminal in the world’s biggest coal-exporting country, but even it is having trouble keeping up with demand. The line of ships waiting to load coal can stretch almost to Sydney, 150 kilometres to the south. At its peak last year, there were 80 vessels in the queue, each forced to lie idle for up to a month.

The delays have been increasing since 2003, and not just because of the port’s limited capacity. Gnawing doubts are also beginning to emerge about the supply of coal, not just in Australia but worldwide, and not only because of logistics but also because of geology. In short, coal may be running out.”

http://environment.newscientist.com/channel/earth/mg19726391.800-coal-bleak-outlook-for-the-black-stuff.html

By: Mark Forskitt

Mark Forskitt — Fri, 09 Nov 2007 05:37:33 +0000

There’s a fair bit of breaking coverage being given to ‘a huge’ oil find off Brazil. This turns out to be around 6 billion barrels (I figure american, not british billions, so 6,000 million). Given world consumption is around 30,000 million barrels a year, thats about 2.5 months world supply. Hardly a dent on the date of Peak Oil, but I wouldn’t be surprised to see the doubters make a big play on it.

(It early morning – so please check the figures for yourself!)

http://uk.reuters.com/article/oilRpt/idUKN0864363820071108

By: Best of the rest: Volume I « Parburypolitica

Best of the rest: Volume I « Parburypolitica — Sat, 27 Oct 2007 09:14:59 +0000

[...] Transition Culture on peak oil [...]

By: KevO

KevO — Fri, 26 Oct 2007 16:34:46 +0000

and now on TV
http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=brgO-MzPKs4

By: Tony

Tony — Wed, 24 Oct 2007 00:50:33 +0000

Finally, a realistic forecast of peak oil!

Here is another forecast of oil, from The Oil Drum, that may be of interest
http://www.theoildrum.com/node/3064

It shows a peak oil plateau starting in 2006 and ending in the middle of 2009

By: KevO

KevO — Tue, 23 Oct 2007 15:52:53 +0000

Dr Who?

By: Reactions to Peak Oil Report | Article Blog

Reactions to Peak Oil Report | Article Blog — Tue, 23 Oct 2007 05:24:59 +0000

[...] at Transition Culture, blogger Rob Hopkins says: “I refuse to see this report as bad news…. It is chilling, and it gives no further [...]

By: WIlliam Lucas

WIlliam Lucas — Tue, 23 Oct 2007 03:05:46 +0000

Ah yes, Dr Who. I remember reacting the same way as you. The original black and white series featuring William someone or other really had that end of the world feel to them. By the way, I ran into Pernilla West in the weekend. She and her partner, Andrew?, are teaching Kiwis how to build cob ovens. I’m trying to interest our Polytechnic in having one built on campus. Care to email our CEO and twist his arm? (pker@tekotago.ac.nz – Phil Ker)

By: tidal

tidal — Mon, 22 Oct 2007 20:46:25 +0000

The article says that production peaks in 2006, and falls in half by 2030. That works out to a 3% decline per annum (0.97^23 = 0.4963), not 7%.

By: KevO

KevO — Mon, 22 Oct 2007 20:36:29 +0000

no it’s ‘several’

By: KevO

KevO — Mon, 22 Oct 2007 20:17:31 +0000

Just logged in to tell you about it and you already have it
see the shock taking hold at
http://www.peakoil.com/fortopic33066.html

By: tidal

tidal — Mon, 22 Oct 2007 19:27:06 +0000

Looks like the executive summary of the report is up here:

http://www.energywatchgroup.org/fileadmin/global/pdf/EWG_Oil_Exec_Summary_10-2007.pdf

By: Tom Hitchman

Tom Hitchman — Mon, 22 Oct 2007 18:11:16 +0000

7% a year?

In the executive summary and the full report they say “several” percent a year and at one point they liken it to the depletion rate of US; “According to the scenario calculations, oil production will decline by about 50% until 2030.
This is equivalent to an average annual decline rate of 3%, well in line with the US experience
where oil production from the lower 48 states declined by 2-3% per year.”

I could not find the 7% used in the guardian article, did anybody else?

Here is the page where the two reports are:

http://www.energywatchgroup.org/Erdoel-Report.32+M5d637b1e38d.0.html

By: Energy Roundup - WSJ.com : Reactions to Peak Oil Report

Energy Roundup - WSJ.com : Reactions to Peak Oil Report — Mon, 22 Oct 2007 18:03:46 +0000

[...] at Transition Culture, blogger Rob Hopkins says: “I refuse to see this report as bad news…. It is chilling, and it gives no further [...]